A populist win will effectively kill Obamacare
As little as a week ago this seemed inconceivable.
There was just now way a Republican was going to win an election to
replace Ted Kennedy in the U.S. Senate .. yet here we are on election
day and polls are showing a win for Scott Brown.
Today we will
really find out what the people think of the Democrats and their plans
to take over 18% of the economy, and things aren't looking all that
well for Democrat Coakley. The Politico/Inside Advantage poll shows
Brown up by 9 percentage points.
- Brown is up 64-32 with independents and is winning 20% of the
vote from people who supported Barack Obama in 2008 while Coakley is
getting just 4% of the McCain vote.
- Brown's voters continue to
be much more enthusiastic than Coakley's. 80% of his say they're 'very
excited' about voting Tuesday while only 60% of hers express that
sentiment. But the likely electorate now reports having voted for
Barack Obama by 19 points, up from 16 a week ago, and a much smaller
drop from his 26 point victory in the state than was seen in Virginia.
- Those planning to turn out continue to be skeptical of the Democratic health care plan, saying they oppose it by a 48/40 margin.
favorability dropped from 50% to 44% after a week filled with perceived
missteps. Brown's negatives went up a lot but his positives only
actually went from 57% to 56%, an indication that attacks against him
may have been most effective with voters already planning to support
Coakley but ambivalent toward Brown.
- 56% of voters in the state
think Brown has made a strong case for why he should be elected while
just 41% say the same of Coakley. Even among Coakley's supporters only
73% think she's made the argument for herself, while 94% of Brown's
supporters think he has.
It seems that Scott Brown has the
voters excited and that is what gets more people the polls. I still
find it hard to believe that a Republican will actually pull through,
but I would just LOVE for the voters of Massachusetts to prove me wrong.
the future of ObamaCare come down to a Massachusetts Senate race? Looks
that way ... but the Democrats will certainly look for another angle.
But that's where we are at and today is voting day. So .. which way do
you think things are going to go in Massachusetts today? Will the
Democrats turn out the voters and eke out a win for Coakley; or will
the Scott Brown surge carry through to the ballot boxes? And ... if
Brown wins, how will the Democrats spin this?