Europeans and Free Will
Posted on: 2012-10-07 05:58:23
by John Young
Though you will occasionally find an outlier among Asians and Africans, it is only Europeans who create a sufficient proportion of persons of Free Will and independent thought who will vote for "none of the above" to actually make a difference in outcomes.
Observing polls, one thing that has always struck me is how a competent polling firm such as Zogby or Rasmussen can poll a very small sample and give results that predict the outcome of an entire voting population within 3%.
They do this by limiting their sample to people with a history of voting who plan to vote in the upcoming election, and then weighting the demographics of that sample to match the broad race/sex/age/marital status demography of voters. With this relatively simple technique, the results can be extrapolated with astonishing accuracy.
If you consider the fact that both major political parties, though spouting different rhetoric, hardly disagree at all on what they actually implement -- and rarely implement anything that is in the long-term best interests of any demographic -- the fact that polls of a few hundred or a few thousand people can be extrapolated so accurately brings one important fact to the fore and raises an important question. The important fact is this: demography IS destiny. It can be nothing else as it is such an accurate predictor of decisions.
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